Archive for November, 2008

The Problem with Defensive Stats

The statistic I’ve developed (which can be found at was originally just supposed to be about defense. Composite Score was in fact originally called Defensive Composite Score. The reason I focused on defense is because it’s still the holy grail of statistics. There are plenty of good rating systems out there […]

11-27-08 Recap

Magic beat Wizards: I’m not sure if it was a case of the Magic keeping their foot on the pedal or a case of the Wizards being lazy, but Orlando gained a big lead early in the second half and the game pretty much ended right there … Shooting 46.9% and playing great defense (Washington […]

Thanksgiving Day Predictions

No recaps today because of the holiday, but I’ll make picks for tonight’s games….
Orlando at Washington: Magic
New Orleans at Denver: Nuggets
Prediction Record: 128-64

11-25-08 Recap

Wizards beat Warriors: In Ed Tapscott’s debut as head coach, the Wizards came through with a pretty convincing win … Golden State scored 100 points, but that’s deceptive because the game was played at a fast pace. Their offensive efficiency was actually below average … It was also the debut for Jamal Crawford in […]

11-24-08 Recap

Magic beat Bucks: Besides building a ten-point deficit in the first quarter, the Bucks played pretty well throughout this game … Still playing without Michael Redd, Milwaukee got plenty of scoring from Richard Jefferson. Unfortunately, Jefferson has had a down year, sporting a below average PER of 13.67 coming into tonight’s contest … The […]

11-23-08 Recap

Celtics beat Raptors: Not normally a great offensive team, the Celtics put on quite a show on the road against a pretty good team. They shot 61.6% for the game, including 10-17 on three-pointers. If they could have turned the ball over a little less (18 in the game), their point total could […]

11-20-08 Recap

Celtics beat Pistons: Boston cruised to an easy victory in this rematch of last year’s playoffs. Perhaps Detroit was still celebrating their win from the previous night over Cleveland … Offensively, there were no standout performers on the Pistons. Only one player scored more than 13 points. That was Allen Iverson, who […]

11-19-08 Recap

Hawks beat Wizards: Atlanta needed a strong finish to hold off the one-win Wizards. It’s great that they ended the slump, but some people may have hoped for a larger margin of victory … Caron Butler was stellar for the Wizards, and he committed just one turnover all game despite carrying the offensive load […]

11-18-08 Recap

Pacers beat Hawks: Playing without Josh Smith, the Hawks suddenly find themselves in a four-game losing streak after a perfect six games to start the season … Joe Johnson was great in this one but got little support. Actually, Joe Johnson has been great in more than just this one. Coming into tonight, […]

11-17-08 Recap

Rockets beat Thunder: Considering how good I think the Rockets are and how bad the Thunder have been (they’re now 1-10), this game was not nearly as lopsided as I thought it would be … Luis Scola was first on the Rockets in points, first in field goal attempts, and second in minutes played. […]