The Top 50 Prospects and the Four Factors

With the draft a week away, I’ve decided to put together a list of the top 50 prospects and their corresponding offensive Four Factors numbers. For good explanations of what those are, go to (I chose to use true shot percentage instead of effective field goal percentage). I’ve also included the players’ ranks in each category. The lowest rank is 42 because I decided to leave out the eight Europeans.

In the next week, I plan on determining which players are the best fit for each team based on these numbers and the team Four Factors. All of the information will be on

To see the numbers, go to:

I used Chad Ford’s Top 100 list to come up with the names. College players’ numbers were obtained from I calculated the Euro numbers using the data available at

To see my draft player projections using the Box Score Prediction System, go to

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“determining which players are the best fit for each team based on these numbers and the team Four Factors”

I assume you mean filling deficiencies.

But sometimes accentuating strengths could be as good or better strategy. Maybe the system causes a good deal of the shortfall and the strengths.

Strength enhancement may face diminishing returns. But previous efforts at correcting weakness may have too.

Lots of ways to model it, have to try it to know for sure.

You could do this exercise or strength enhancement for free agents and trade targets too.

Yep, the free agents idea is a good one. I’ll be doing that in the future…

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