Trying to Understand the Point Guard Results, Part II: Using Career Three-Point Percentage
July 14th, 2009 by Jon Nichols

A second concern about my point guard study, besides the complications of true shot percentage, is the possibility that the relationship between three-point shooting in point guards and increased team Offensive Ratings is a matter of correlation and not causation. Perhaps, the theory goes, a point guard shoots a high percentage from long distance because the team is good at offense, rather than his three-point shooting being a reason why the offense is successful.

There are number of ways to get some clues to see if this is a problem. A simple method that I have chosen is using the point guards’ career three-point percentages rather than the current season’s percentages. The career percentage should be a more accurate indicator of whether or not the player is truly a good shooter from long range and not just a product of offense. Of course, if a player has spent his entire career with one team the results may be less useful, but nevertheless we push forward:

As you can see, instead of using the cutoff points of 30% and 40%, I changed them to 32% and 38%. I did this because there are fewer players that have career percentages as extreme. 22.73% of home lineups featured a point guard with a career three-point percentage greater than 38%, and 33.95% featured a player with a percentage lower than 32%. On the road, those numbers were 23.06% and 34.07%, respectively.

The results are practically identical to those of the original study. I think we can safely say that using career three-point percentage instead of current percentage does not really make a difference.

6 Responses  
lululemon sale writes:
June 9th, 2013 at 1:46 am

lululemon athletica lululemon makes technical athletic clothes for yoga, running, working out, and most other sweaty pursuits. [url=http://www.acabiodiversity.ca/contactus.htm]lululemon sale[/url] lululemon sale

fqDzvCRb writes:
June 9th, 2013 at 2:35 am

fqDzvCRb http://www.41X80w09WfsxxWY9JbIK47.com/

JiCFfVQz writes:
June 9th, 2013 at 2:35 am



ocsMILRo writes:
June 9th, 2013 at 2:36 am



gnbyZzae writes:
June 9th, 2013 at 2:37 am



bistiliohiple writes:
June 9th, 2013 at 5:36 am

louis vuitton outlet online italiahttp://creationsigns.co.uk#cheap louis vuitton handbags for sale louis vuitton cruise 2012 sunglasses vigilantism inauguration date analyzer technician jobs lanterns quip

»  Substance: WordPress   »  Style: Ahren Ahimsa
© Copyright 2009 Basketball-Statistics.com