Updated NCAA Plus-Minus 01-15-10
January 15th, 2010 by Jon Nichols

I have updated college basketball plus-minus!  See below.  Remember you can click the arrow in the top left to view the document full screen or download it as an Excel spreadsheet.

8 Responses  
Brian Lerner writes:
January 19th, 2010 at 9:33 am

Hey Jon,

Very nice work. If you don’t mind me asking, what is your source for the play-by-play data? I’m mostly interested in Big East teams, as almost half either don’t post any play-by-play or a version without substitution info on their websites.


Jon Nichols writes:
January 19th, 2010 at 11:03 am

Brian, thanks for the kind words. Everything is at NCAA.com.

Brian Lerner writes:
January 21st, 2010 at 12:17 pm

Doh, of course! Thanks.

If you’ve got the energy, I think it would be really useful to also track +/- stats for just conference games, since the level of competition should be a better match than with all the cupcakes or lambs-to-slaughter games during the OOC.


Jon Nichols writes:
January 21st, 2010 at 12:22 pm

Brian, I think the conference-only idea is solid, but I have some concerns. Plus-minus needs a lot of data to be reliable at all, so narrowing down an already brief schedule (compared to the NBA) may not be a good idea. Blowouts over easy opponents may not be the most telling games, but they are extra data points.

Bradford Doolittle writes:
January 23rd, 2010 at 1:35 pm


Take the first player on the sheet, Demond Watt. His Net Overall Plus-Minus is +10.8, which you would define as ‘team’s production is 10.8 points better with him on the floor than off’ if I’m understanding everything correctly. But what is that 10.8 measuring? Is it 10.8 points per 100 possessions? That’s my assumption, but I don’t see that state clearly anywhere.

Great stuff Jon, and mighty kind of you to make this available in spreadsheet form.

- Brad

Jon Nichols writes:
January 24th, 2010 at 12:26 am


10.8 is points per average-paced game, which is estimated at 66.5 possessions.


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