Player Projection: Jeff Teague

 
by Jon Nichols

Today I will be projecting the NBA stats of Jeff Teague of the Wake Forest Demon Deacons using my Box Score Prediction System (explanation here: http://basketball-statistics.com/explanationoftheboxscorepredictionsystem.html).  Teague is a potential lottery pick.

Teague is a talented scoring guard with great athleticism and quickness.  He also has a great shot, giving him the deadly combination of speed and shooting.  Despite being a sophomore in a tough conference, Teague had no problem putting the ball through the hoop. 

Unfortunately, he’s also a bit of a tweener at the guard position.  He’s not big enough to play shooting guard and his point guard skills are not yet refined.  In addition, he’s prone to turnovers.

How does BSPS think Teague will do in the NBA?  Let’s take a look at his projected career averages per 36 minutes:

Jeff Teague Box Score

The box score lives up to the scouting report.  Teague will be able to score at a reasonable rate.  More importantly, thanks to his great three-point shooting and ability to get to the free throw line, he’ll be pretty efficient in the process.  Unfortunately, the scoring is about the only thing that stands out in that stat line.  Concerns about his ability to run an offense are manifested in the low assist total, and he is average or below average in the other five categories.

To me, Jeff Teague seems like he can be a poor man’s Gilbert Arenas.  This would make him a useful scorer off the bench, but probably not a game-changing superstar or a wise floor general.  However, in a draft class this weak, this makes him a pretty useful pick.  To me, he’s certainly a wise choice for a late lottery team looking for some scoring help.

 

 

 

 

Copyright © 2009 Basketball-Statistics.com